A volunteer dressed in full protection offers test kits to individuals at a walk-in covid-19 test site in Los Angeles, California. (Free Press Photo: .)

In addition, it also reported a “complete” brake on transmission in some Caribbean islands.

“It is expected that Latin America and the Caribbean have more than 438,000 covid-19 deaths“In the next three months, Carissa Etienne said at a press conference, PAHO Director, regional office of the World Health Organization (WHO).

According to the model of the University of Washington Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), the American center that advises the OPS, in the total of the American continent the deaths will almost triple by October 1, surpassing 627,000 deaths.

Is projection includes the United States, the most affected country in the world, and in which the IHME anticipates more than 175 thousand deaths in the next three months.

Etienne said that the peak of infections in Latin America will occur at different times.

Chile and Colombia will peak in the next 15 days, while in Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil and Peru the peak will occur sometime in August. In Central America and Mexico, it will be in mid-August, although in Costa Rica it is expected in October.

“It is important to emphasize that these projections will be met only if current conditions persist. Countries can change these predictions if they make the right decisions and implement strict, proven public health measures, “he said.

Etienne said governments must respond to the coronavirus pandemic based on “increasingly detailed” epidemiological surveillance data, and called for “flexibility” to minimize the impact of the virus, especially in communities heavily dependent on the informal economy.

Also alerted about “Other challenges” for the region, such as the arrival of seasonal flu in the South American Southern Cone, which can complicate health services.

The American continent is the region of the world that currently concentrates the largest number of infections and deaths in the new coronavirus, declared a pandemic by WHO in mid-March. But Etienne stressed that the total numbers “only tell part of the story.”

“Several countries and territories in the Caribbean were able to completely stop transmission and have not reported new cases for several weeks, but they must remain vigilant for the next few months,” he said.

According to data provided to . by PAHO, these are the Caribbean islands that have not reported cases for more than 14 days: Saint Bartholomew, Anguilla, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, Montserrat, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Aruba, Sint Maarten, British Virgin Islands , Bonaire, Saint Eustaquio and Saba, Granada and Saint Lucia.